TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065199
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411116611811––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 68 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 50–49 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 49 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-49 in 99
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1491 vs Vedmoch 1624
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 40% vs Vedmoch 60%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 50% vs Vedmoch 70%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -3 · Vedmoch -1
Plachy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 2.20 / Vedmoch 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vedmoch)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065199
Plachy2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 172 of 414
Down 0–1, comes back22% 52 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 126
Vedmoch1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 206 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it96% 99 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy3wins
AwayVedmoch7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVedmoch62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy2Vedmoch8n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S2Plachy6Vedmoch4n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Plachy5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S4Plachy3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S5Plachy2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyVedmochP − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.4−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime742 / 1606 vs 703 / 131046.2%53.7%742 / 1606 vs 703 / 1310Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochPlachy 2.20/Vedmoch 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy—91111113M. Vedmoch—117941
LSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy—311651M. Vedmoch—11711113
LSep 2 · 10:30J. Plachy—34111172M. Vedmoch—111168113
LSep 2 · 09:30J. Plachy—115861M. Vedmoch—91111113
WSep 2 · 07:30J. Plachy—711145113M. Vedmoch—119121182
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Plachy—1091151M. Vedmoch—12114113
LSep 1 · 06:30J. Plachy—5116111M. Vedmoch—11511133
LAug 31 · 09:28J. Plachy—1211781M. Vedmoch—14311113
WAug 31 · 08:00J. Plachy—911115113M. Vedmoch—11941142
LAug 29 · 22:30J. Plachy—11991152M. Vedmoch—711117113
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880WSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy2.00311651M. Vedmoch1.7311711113LSep 2 · 12:00J. Dedek2.38131198113M. Vedmoch1.53116111162
Upcoming Matches
J. Plachy
M. Vedmoch
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.