TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077712
Played Sep 5Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5115111181012––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 31–23 Jiri Plachy Jiri Plachy has won 23 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-23 in 54
Darin
Wrong
gap of 8 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1393 vs Plachy 1436
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Plachy 40%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Plachy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Plachy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.50 / Plachy 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Plachy)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077712
Darin2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 200 of 484
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 271
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 169
Plachy1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin6wins
AwayPlachy4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin100%4 of 4
AwayPlachy66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S2Darin3Plachy7n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S3Darin6Plachy4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin4Plachy3n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S5Darin4Plachy1n = 5Darin took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinPlachyD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.2+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime749 / 1543 vs 741 / 160148.5%46.3%749 / 1543 vs 741 / 1601Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyDarin 2.50/Plachy 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 09:00K. Darin—611111182J. Plachy—111386113
WJul 28 · 06:30K. Darin—11116113J. Plachy—861171
LJul 26 · 19:30K. Darin—14440J. Plachy—1611113
LJul 26 · 17:30K. Darin—981191J. Plachy—11114113
WJul 26 · 15:00K. Darin—1191111113J. Plachy—91131312
WJul 22 · 09:29K. Darin—116811113J. Plachy—61111792
WJul 22 · 08:30K. Darin—581111113J. Plachy—11119672
WJul 21 · 13:04K. Darin—1111113J. Plachy—9870
WJul 21 · 12:30K. Darin—711118123J. Plachy—119311102
LJul 21 · 08:30K. Darin—9660J. Plachy—1111113
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113
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