Kyryl Darin vs Lukas Malek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13087507

Played Sep 6Finished

Kyryl Darin

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

911611115711––

Lukas Malek

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Lukas Malek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 71 set 4, 7-11

71 points played in total.

H2H Kyryl Darin 43–27 Lukas Malek Lukas Malek has won 27 of their 70 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Malek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Malek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDarin 1.80 / Malek 1.91

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Darin)-5.5pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13087507

Darin1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite57% won 162 of 285

Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89

Up 1–0, closes it75% 112 of 150

Malek1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog33% won 21 of 63

Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36

Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDarin7wins

AwayMalek3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDarin80%4 of 5

AwayMalek40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Darin5Malek5n = 10split evenly

S2Darin3Malek7n = 10Malek took 7 of 10

S3Darin8Malek2n = 10Darin took 8 of 10

S4Darin6Malek2n = 8Darin took 6 of 8

S5Darin2Malek1n = 3Darin took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDarinMalekD − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.8+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDarinMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime746 / 1543 vs 195 / 40248.4%48.5%746 / 1543 vs 195 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Darin

Darin 1.80/Malek 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Malek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Malek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WMay 17 · 10:30K. Darin—771112113L. Malek—111161052

WMay 15 · 12:58K. Darin—15111110123L. Malek—1313812102

WMay 15 · 12:00K. Darin—21111113L. Malek—119681

WMay 13 · 08:00K. Darin—111111113L. Malek—139961

LMay 7 · 12:58K. Darin—8880L. Malek—1111113

LMay 7 · 12:00K. Darin—117121192L. Malek—911144113

LApr 22 · 13:28K. Darin—7812111L. Malek—111110133

WApr 22 · 12:00K. Darin—1111113L. Malek—9980

WApr 4 · 11:30K. Darin—11811113L. Malek—911961

WMar 17 · 13:00K. Darin—11911113L. Malek—311241

K. Darin10

LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113 LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792 LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123 WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113 LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113 LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472 LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123 LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123 WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113 LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131

L. Malek10

LSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860 LSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113 LSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791 LSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113 WSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113 LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971 WSep 4 · 10:30L. Malek3.00111111123J. Steffan1.367136101 LSep 1 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.2511211113L. Malek3.751110861 LSep 1 · 12:00L. Malek3.008590D. Parhomenko1.361111113 WSep 1 · 11:30J. Plachy1.446840L. Malek2.631111113

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