TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082612
Played Sep 6Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11211851111131012
Filip Jungman
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Filip Jungman below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 3–7 Filip Jungman Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:49What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Jungman
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1398 vs Jungman 1406
Jungman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 20% vs Jungman 100%
Jungman
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 40% vs Jungman 70%
Jungman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +1 · Jungman +5
Jungman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jungman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.80 / Jungman 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jungman)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082612
Darin1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 162 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it75% 112 of 150
Jungman1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayJungman7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJungman leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin33.3%1 of 3
AwayJungman71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin3Jungman7n = 10Jungman took 7 of 10
S2Darin5Jungman5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin6Jungman4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Darin2Jungman6n = 8Jungman took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinJungmanD − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.537.5−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinJungmanBasisWin rate · lifetime746 / 1542 vs 88 / 16248.4%54.3%746 / 1542 vs 88 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanDarin 1.80/Jungman 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 07:00K. Darin—81311113F. Jungman—1111891
LJun 28 · 22:00K. Darin—611591F. Jungman—11911113
LMay 17 · 13:30K. Darin—61170F. Jungman—1113113
LMay 17 · 11:00K. Darin—491161F. Jungman—11117113
LMay 8 · 17:00K. Darin—111011752F. Jungman—912711113
LMay 8 · 14:00K. Darin—511361F. Jungman—11811113
LMay 3 · 06:00K. Darin—8101171F. Jungman—11126113
WMar 18 · 01:30K. Darin—1111113F. Jungman—9440
LFeb 21 · 04:28K. Darin—118661F. Jungman—91111113
WFeb 21 · 01:30K. Darin—51111113F. Jungman—117471
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113WAug 21 · 19:30F. Jungman1.73981111113J. Steffan2.0011113942
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