TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465753
Played Aug 21Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171113114511311
Filip Jungman
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Filip Jungman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 60.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 3–1 Filip Jungman Filip Jungman has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1531 vs Jungman 1303
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 100% vs Jungman 60%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Jungman 30%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +5 · Jungman +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.73 / Jungman 2.00
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465753
Holovatiuk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 62 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it76% 42 of 55
Jungman2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk3wins
AwayJungman1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk2Jungman2n = 4split evenly
S2Holovatiuk1Jungman3n = 4Jungman took 3 of 4
S3Holovatiuk3Jungman1n = 4Holovatiuk took 3 of 4
S4Holovatiuk3Jungman1n = 4Holovatiuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHolovatiukJungmanH − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.537.2+4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukJungmanBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 614 vs 84 / 15848.5%53.2%298 / 614 vs 84 / 158Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.73/Jungman 2.00
Miss
What we said
60.7%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 15 · 10:30Y. Holovatiuk—11711113F. Jungman—811471
WJul 22 · 17:29Y. Holovatiuk—91111113F. Jungman—119771
WJul 22 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk—118811113F. Jungman—31111882
LJun 25 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—1251171F. Jungman—14118113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 19:30F. Jungman1.73981111113J. Steffan2.0011113942
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