TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082049
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811117119––
Lukas Malek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Lukas Malek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Filip Jungman at 60.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 2–1 Lukas Malek Lukas Malek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1344 vs Malek 1494
Malek
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 100% vs Malek 40%
Jungman
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 50% vs Malek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +5 · Malek -1
Jungman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jungman) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.53 / Malek 2.38
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Malek)+5.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082049
Jungman1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 53 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Malek2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJungman2wins
AwayMalek1wins
Jungman leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jungman1Malek2n = 3Malek took 2 of 3
S2Jungman3Malek0n = 3Jungman took 3 of 3
S3Jungman1Malek2n = 3Malek took 2 of 3
S4Jungman2Malek1n = 3Jungman took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJungmanMalekJ − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.741.0−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 160 vs 195 / 39953.8%48.9%86 / 160 vs 195 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanJungman 1.53/Malek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.6%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 17 · 12:30F. Jungman—121211113L. Malek—10101371
WApr 5 · 12:00F. Jungman—31111123L. Malek—1199101
LFeb 22 · 13:00F. Jungman—613591L. Malek—111111113
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WAug 21 · 21:28F. Jungman1.831111113Y. Holovatiuk1.837990WAug 21 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk1.73111111532F. Jungman2.00713411113WAug 21 · 19:30F. Jungman1.73981111113J. Steffan2.0011113942
L. Malek10
WSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113WSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971WSep 4 · 10:30L. Malek3.00111111123J. Steffan1.367136101LSep 1 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.2511211113L. Malek3.751110861LSep 1 · 12:00L. Malek3.008590D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 1 · 11:30J. Plachy1.446840L. Malek2.631111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Jungman
Nothing scheduled
L. Malek
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