TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082606
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukas Malek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911111211––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Malek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 45 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 56.3%
45 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Malek 27–43 Kyryl Darin Lukas Malek has won 27 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-43 in 70
Darin
Correct
gap of 16 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Malek 1478 vs Darin 1379
Malek
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malek 40% vs Darin 20%
Malek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malek 50% vs Darin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Malek -2 · Darin -4
Darin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalek 2.00 / Darin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082606
Malek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 21 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Darin1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 162 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it75% 112 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMalek3wins
AwayDarin7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMalek40%2 of 5
AwayDarin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Malek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Malek7Darin3n = 10Malek took 7 of 10
S3Malek2Darin8n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S4Malek2Darin6n = 8Darin took 6 of 8
S5Malek1Darin2n = 3Darin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalekDarinM − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.4−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 400 vs 745 / 154148.8%48.4%195 / 400 vs 745 / 1541Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinMalek 2.00/Darin 1.73
Hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 17 · 10:30L. Malek—111161052K. Darin—771112113
LMay 15 · 12:58L. Malek—1313812102K. Darin—15111110123
LMay 15 · 12:00L. Malek—119681K. Darin—21111113
LMay 13 · 08:00L. Malek—139961K. Darin—111111113
WMay 7 · 12:58L. Malek—1111113K. Darin—8880
WMay 7 · 12:00L. Malek—911144113K. Darin—117121192
WApr 22 · 13:28L. Malek—111110133K. Darin—7812111
LApr 22 · 12:00L. Malek—9980K. Darin—1111113
LApr 4 · 11:30L. Malek—911961K. Darin—11811113
LMar 17 · 13:00L. Malek—311241K. Darin—11911113
L. Malek10
WSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791LSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113WSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971WSep 4 · 10:30L. Malek3.00111111123J. Steffan1.367136101LSep 1 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.2511211113L. Malek3.751110861LSep 1 · 12:00L. Malek3.008590D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 1 · 11:30J. Plachy1.446840L. Malek2.631111113
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690
Upcoming Matches
L. Malek
K. Darin
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.