TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077714
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117511511––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Lukas Krok at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 30–26 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 26 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-26 in 56
Krok
Wrong
gap of 4 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1426 vs Darin 1373
Krok
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 20% vs Darin 60%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 30% vs Darin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok +1 · Darin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 1.83 / Darin 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13077714
Krok1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Darin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok3wins
AwayDarin7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok50%2 of 4
AwayDarin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Krok2Darin8n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S3Krok2Darin8n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S4Krok3Darin2n = 5Krok took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokDarinK − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.137.5−5.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 369 vs 753 / 154945.8%48.6%169 / 369 vs 753 / 1549Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokKrok 1.83/Darin 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krok—10430K. Darin—1211113
WAug 5 · 20:30L. Krok—81111113K. Darin—114751
LJul 7 · 18:00L. Krok—11912121K. Darin—91114143
LJun 13 · 21:30L. Krok—10660K. Darin—1211113
LJun 13 · 20:00L. Krok—7860K. Darin—1111113
LJun 10 · 19:00L. Krok—12840K. Darin—1411113
WMay 28 · 19:30L. Krok—11117113K. Darin—881181
WApr 29 · 19:30L. Krok—1191110113K. Darin—81171282
LApr 3 · 20:59L. Krok—11581132K. Darin—911116113
LApr 3 · 18:30L. Krok—61060K. Darin—1112113
L. Krok10
WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113LAug 21 · 21:28L. Krok1.831210581J. Prokupek1.83101211113WAug 21 · 20:30L. Krok2.631211113J. Prokupek1.4410970LAug 21 · 19:00L. Krok2.6310380J. Dedek1.441211113
K. Darin10
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
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