TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465754
Played Aug 21Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119117––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 64.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 0–2 Jaroslav Prokupek Lukas Krok has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krok 1481 vs Prokupek 1452
Krok
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 40% vs Prokupek 80%
Prokupek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 50% vs Prokupek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok -1 · Prokupek +3
Prokupek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 2.63 / Prokupek 1.44
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Prokupek)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12465754
Krok2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 59 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Prokupek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 122 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it88% 68 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it72% 92 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrok0wins
AwayProkupek2wins
Prokupek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricKrokProkupekK − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match23.533.5−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 368 vs 625 / 131146.2%47.7%170 / 368 vs 625 / 1311Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekKrok 2.63/Prokupek 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 6 · 18:30L. Krok—6680J. Prokupek—1111113
LMay 20 · 19:00L. Krok—89100J. Prokupek—1111123
L. Krok10
WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113LAug 21 · 21:28L. Krok1.831210581J. Prokupek1.83101211113LAug 21 · 19:00L. Krok2.6310380J. Dedek1.441211113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113WAug 21 · 21:28L. Krok1.831210581J. Prokupek1.83101211113
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