TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13089328
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511711––––
Radim Pavelka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 49–46 Radim Pavelka Radim Pavelka has won 46 of their 95 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.91 / Pavelka 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pavelka)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13089328
Prokupek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 100 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 76
Pavelka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 103 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it76% 73 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek3wins
AwayPavelka7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPavelka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek75%3 of 4
AwayPavelka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek4Pavelka6n = 10Pavelka took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek2Pavelka8n = 10Pavelka took 8 of 10
S3Prokupek4Pavelka6n = 10Pavelka took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek1Pavelka6n = 7Pavelka took 6 of 7
S5Prokupek3Pavelka1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekPavelkaProkupek − PavelkaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.642.1−9.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime641 / 1348 vs 447 / 88647.6%50.5%641 / 1348 vs 447 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaProkupek 1.91/Pavelka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 18:00J. Prokupek—6131121R. Pavelka—11156113
LSep 4 · 14:00J. Prokupek—1051131R. Pavelka—12114113
LJul 5 · 08:30J. Prokupek—21291492R. Pavelka—11101112113
LJun 20 · 09:30J. Prokupek—6650R. Pavelka—1111113
LJun 20 · 07:30J. Prokupek—113741R. Pavelka—81111113
WJun 18 · 16:30J. Prokupek—113125113R. Pavelka—611101192
WJun 5 · 06:00J. Prokupek—118117113R. Pavelka—31191192
LJun 4 · 01:00J. Prokupek—8450R. Pavelka—1111113
LMay 26 · 16:58J. Prokupek—5930R. Pavelka—1111113
WMay 26 · 16:00J. Prokupek—111395153R. Pavelka—9111111132
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113
R. Pavelka10
LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760
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