TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077442
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117114117––
Radim Pavelka
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 56.2%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1545 vs Pavelka 1604
Pavelka
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Pavelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 50% vs Pavelka 70%
Pavelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Pavelka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.25 / Pavelka 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077442
Svoboda1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Pavelka3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 79 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 446 / 88150%50.6%5 / 10 vs 446 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.25/Pavelka 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Svoboda10
LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792LAug 17 · 13:28M. Sobisek1.671111113J. Svoboda2.106430WAug 17 · 12:00J. Svoboda1.5091111113D. Tuma2.50115841
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760
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