TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077449
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121141012811––
Marek Sedlak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Marek Sedlak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Svoboda at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Svoboda 0–1 Marek Sedlak Jan Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sedlak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1647 vs Sedlak 1458
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Sedlak 40%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Sedlak 40%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +3 · Sedlak -1
Svoboda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sedlak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.20 / Sedlak 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sedlak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077449
Svoboda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sedlak1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite27% won 4 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwaySedlak1wins
Sedlak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSvobodaSedlakSvoboda − SedlakBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.039.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaSedlakBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 12 vs 68 / 13958.3%48.9%7 / 12 vs 68 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakSvoboda 2.20/Sedlak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda—10111081M. Sedlak—12412113
J. Svoboda10
LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792LAug 17 · 13:28M. Sobisek1.671111113J. Svoboda2.106430WAug 17 · 12:00J. Svoboda1.5091111113D. Tuma2.50115841
M. Sedlak10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113WSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt2.381111113M. Sedlak1.535560WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.80101411101J. Stolfa1.9112169123WAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
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