TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041666
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–4Last 6Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811611118117
Petr Budinsky
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Svoboda at 58.1%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1447 vs Budinsky 1509
Budinsky
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 20% vs Budinsky 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 33% vs Budinsky 20%
—
Too close
13pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -3 · Budinsky +1
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.73 / Budinsky 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041666
Svoboda1.73
33%won 2 of 6 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 2 of 6
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Budinsky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 16 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 74 / 14733.3%50.3%2 / 6 vs 74 / 147Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.035.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.73/Budinsky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Svoboda10
LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792LAug 17 · 13:28M. Sobisek1.671111113J. Svoboda2.106430WAug 17 · 12:00J. Svoboda1.5091111113D. Tuma2.50115841
P. Budinsky10
LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192LAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.7381111113P. Budinsky2.00114991LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.73116671T. Vinter2.0091111113LAug 29 · 15:00P. Budinsky2.38311451D. Tuma1.5311511113
Upcoming Matches
J. Svoboda
P. Budinsky
Nothing scheduled
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