TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040732
Played Aug 30Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114119119––
Petr Budinsky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 62.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 1–0 Petr Budinsky Petr Budinsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1691 vs Budinsky 1486
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 60% vs Budinsky 20%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 80% vs Budinsky 20%
Stolfa
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -1 · Budinsky -3
Budinsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.73 / Budinsky 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040732
Stolfa1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 74 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Budinsky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 17 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStolfa1wins
AwayBudinsky0wins
Stolfa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStolfaBudinskyS − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 341 vs 75 / 15352.5%49%179 / 341 vs 75 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.73/Budinsky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa—81111113P. Budinsky—114991
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113
P. Budinsky10
LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.73116671T. Vinter2.0091111113LAug 29 · 15:00P. Budinsky2.38311451D. Tuma1.5311511113
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