TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070724
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611117119711811
Marcel Pikous
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 74.0% is still 74.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
74.0%
74.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 74.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Pikous
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1634 vs Pikous 1601
Stolfa
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Pikous 0%
Stolfa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 40% vs Pikous 0%
Stolfa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Pikous -5
Pikous
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Pikous) · live re-read · sealed at 26% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (0%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 3.40 / Pikous 1.30
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Pikous)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13070724
Stolfa3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog57% won 58 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back39% 23 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Pikous1.30
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it88% 53 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 349 vs 367 / 69351.9%53%181 / 349 vs 367 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousStolfa 3.40/Pikous 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pikous won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790
M. Pikous10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113
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