Jakub Stolfa vs Vladimir Cermak 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13089369

Played Sep 6Finished

Jakub Stolfa

Home

2.02

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

51114126111191315

Vladimir Cermak

Away

1.70

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Vladimir Cermak below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 13-15

Point 107 set 5, 13-15

107 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Stolfa 3–8 Vladimir Cermak Jakub Stolfa has won 3 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cermak form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStolfa 2.02 / Cermak 1.70

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Stolfa)+0.3pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13089369

Stolfa2.02

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog56% won 60 of 108

Down 0–1, comes back39% 25 of 64

Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30

Cermak1.70

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite60% won 151 of 253

Up 2–0, closes it91% 77 of 85

Up 1–0, closes it79% 119 of 150

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStolfa2wins

AwayCermak8wins

2 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStolfa33.3%1 of 3

AwayCermak85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stolfa3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10

S2Stolfa2Cermak8n = 10Cermak took 8 of 10

S3Stolfa2Cermak8n = 10Cermak took 8 of 10

S4Stolfa4Cermak1n = 5Stolfa took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away550%

These 10 meetings

MetricStolfaCermakS − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.137.6−7.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStolfaCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 340 vs 540 / 105451.8%51.2%176 / 340 vs 540 / 1054Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Cermak

Stolfa 2.02/Cermak 1.70

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Cermak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Cermak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa—12991192V. Cermak—1011119113

WAug 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa—13511113V. Cermak—1111291

LAug 21 · 11:00J. Stolfa—86130V. Cermak—1111153

LAug 8 · 16:00J. Stolfa—6380V. Cermak—1111103

WApr 9 · 07:30J. Stolfa—101111113V. Cermak—125971

LJan 27 · 13:57J. Stolfa—6660V. Cermak—1111113

LJan 27 · 12:30J. Stolfa—7530V. Cermak—1111113

LJul 25 · 11:30J. Stolfa—71131142V. Cermak—118119113

LJul 17 · 09:08J. Stolfa—65100V. Cermak—1111123

LJul 17 · 06:00J. Stolfa—1185101V. Cermak—51111123

J. Stolfa10

LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113 LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113 WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113 LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113 WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881 LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192 LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113 WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113 LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113 LSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790

V. Cermak10

LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101 LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113 WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113 WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113 LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113 LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272 WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113 LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113 LAug 28 · 13:00V. Vejvoda2.38671113113V. Cermak1.53111181192 LAug 28 · 12:30J. Hradecky1.5011611133V. Cermak2.507118111

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