TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070729
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111012911117911
Denis Hofman
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Denis Hofman below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 69.6%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 1–1 Denis Hofman Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hofman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1621 vs Hofman 1606
Stolfa
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Hofman 0%
Stolfa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 40% vs Hofman 20%
Stolfa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -4 · Hofman -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hofman) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hofman form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.25 / Hofman 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hofman)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070729
Stolfa2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog57% won 58 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back39% 23 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Hofman1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 76 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it65% 47 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStolfa1wins
AwayHofman1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStolfaHofmanS − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match52.049.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaHofmanBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 351 vs 451 / 94051.6%48%181 / 351 vs 451 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HofmanStolfa 2.25/Hofman 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Hofman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hofman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 4 · 08:58J. Stolfa—1091111113D. Hofman—12115992
LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa—131091192D. Hofman—1112117113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790
D. Hofman10
WSep 5 · 20:59D. Hofman1.671011117113K. Schopf2.1012871192LSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161LSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:30K. Schopf1.913390D. Hofman1.801111113WSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113WSep 5 · 15:30D. Hofman2.0011117113M. Sychra1.73641141LSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781LSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113
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