TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077686
Played Sep 5Finished
Denis Hofman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114711114––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDenis Hofman above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 65 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.5%
65 points played in total.
H2H Denis Hofman 26–26 Martin Sychra Dead even across their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 2–8Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-26 in 52
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hofman 1620 vs Sychra 1701
Sychra
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hofman 60% vs Sychra 40%
Hofman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hofman 40% vs Sychra 70%
Sychra
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hofman -1 · Sychra +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHofman 2.00 / Sychra 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Sychra)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077686
Hofman2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 111 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back27% 35 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 62
Sychra1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 251 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 175 of 218
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHofman2wins
AwaySychra8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHofmann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySychra75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hofman2Sychra8n = 10Sychra took 8 of 10
S2Hofman4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Hofman4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S4Hofman3Sychra3n = 6split evenly
S5Hofman0Sychra3n = 3Sychra took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHofmanSychraH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.138.0−3.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHofmanSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 943 vs 802 / 151047.9%53.1%452 / 943 vs 802 / 1510Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraHofman 2.00/Sychra 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hofman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 13:30D. Hofman—101111972M. Sychra—128611113
LAug 26 · 10:30D. Hofman—13791172M. Sychra—1111117113
LAug 26 · 07:30D. Hofman—10111110112M. Sychra—124412133
LAug 17 · 24:00D. Hofman—121991M. Sychra—101111113
WAug 16 · 19:00D. Hofman—51111113M. Sychra—115591
LAug 11 · 15:00D. Hofman—3690M. Sychra—1111113
WAug 11 · 12:30D. Hofman—101111113M. Sychra—125651
LAug 9 · 24:00D. Hofman—31170M. Sychra—1113113
LAug 8 · 12:59D. Hofman—61030M. Sychra—1112113
LAug 8 · 10:30D. Hofman—9590M. Sychra—1111113
D. Hofman10
WSep 5 · 20:59D. Hofman1.671011117113K. Schopf2.1012871192LSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161LSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:30K. Schopf1.913390D. Hofman1.801111113WSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113LSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 17:33M. Pikous2.05111081182D. Hofman1.65412113113LSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881WSep 4 · 15:00M. Pikous2.00611121162D. Hofman1.73115148113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
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