TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078541
Played Sep 4Finished
Marcel Pikous
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141012811113811
Denis Hofman
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Denis Hofman below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Pikous 30–34 Denis Hofman Marcel Pikous has won 30 of their 64 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Hofman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hofman form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 2.05 / Hofman 1.65
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Hofman)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078541
Pikous2.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 40 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Hofman1.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 76 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it65% 47 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePikous1wins
AwayHofman9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHofman leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePikous33.3%1 of 3
AwayHofman100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pikous3Hofman7n = 10Hofman took 7 of 10
S2Pikous6Hofman4n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S3Pikous4Hofman6n = 10Hofman took 6 of 10
S4Pikous2Hofman7n = 9Hofman took 7 of 9
S5Pikous1Hofman5n = 6Hofman took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPikousHofmanP − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.643.3−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousHofmanBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 692 vs 450 / 94052.9%47.9%366 / 692 vs 450 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HofmanPikous 2.05/Hofman 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Hofman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hofman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:00M. Pikous—611121162D. Hofman—115148113
LAug 23 · 24:00M. Pikous—11780D. Hofman—1311113
LAug 9 · 01:30M. Pikous—711591D. Hofman—11511113
LJul 30 · 22:30M. Pikous—11581182D. Hofman—711112113
LJul 22 · 02:59M. Pikous—491151D. Hofman—11117113
LJul 22 · 01:30M. Pikous—91111892D. Hofman—114611113
LJul 16 · 16:30M. Pikous—11127832D. Hofman—3101111113
LJul 12 · 01:30M. Pikous—71312592D. Hofman—11111011113
LJul 1 · 17:00M. Pikous—6111181D. Hofman—11613113
WJul 1 · 15:30M. Pikous—118115143D. Hofman—411711122
M. Pikous10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113
D. Hofman10
WSep 5 · 20:59D. Hofman1.671011117113K. Schopf2.1012871192LSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161LSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:30K. Schopf1.913390D. Hofman1.801111113WSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113WSep 5 · 15:30D. Hofman2.0011117113M. Sychra1.73641141LSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781LSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881WSep 4 · 15:00M. Pikous2.00611121162D. Hofman1.73115148113
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