TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13085782
Played Sep 6Finished
Marcel Pikous
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Michal Regner
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Pikous 30–31 Michal Regner Marcel Pikous has won 30 of their 61 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pikous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 1.73 / Regner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pikous)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13085782
Pikous1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 112 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it77% 78 of 102
Regner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 113 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePikous6wins
AwayRegner4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePikous66.7%6 of 9
AwayRegnern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pikous9Regner1n = 10Pikous took 9 of 10
S2Pikous2Regner8n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S3Pikous7Regner3n = 10Pikous took 7 of 10
S4Pikous5Regner3n = 8Pikous took 5 of 8
S5Pikous1Regner2n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPikousRegnerP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.636.0+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 692 vs 513 / 106552.8%48.2%365 / 692 vs 513 / 1065Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousPikous 1.73/Regner 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 01:30M. Pikous—111011113M. Regner—812571
WAug 9 · 24:30M. Pikous—1111113M. Regner—8960
WAug 6 · 01:30M. Pikous—1111113M. Regner—4870
WAug 4 · 22:30M. Pikous—111211113M. Regner—714691
LAug 3 · 02:30M. Pikous—114561M. Regner—81111113
LJul 30 · 23:30M. Pikous—1111991M. Regner—61311113
LJul 27 · 23:00M. Pikous—111011972M. Regner—312811113
LJul 22 · 02:30M. Pikous—77111282M. Regner—1111710113
WJul 11 · 07:30M. Pikous—11814123M. Regner—41112101
WJun 26 · 24:00M. Pikous—116911113M. Regner—61111172
M. Pikous10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113
M. Regner10
WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Regner1.73117913113D. Hofman2.00911111162WSep 4 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.204980M. Regner1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141WSep 3 · 08:30J. Tazler2.002570M. Regner1.731111113
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