TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083605
Played Sep 5Finished
Richard Wagner
Home
1.77
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511611––––
Marcel Pikous
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-10
Point 48 set 3, 6-10
48 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Richard Wagner 6–5 Marcel Pikous Marcel Pikous has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.77 / Pikous 1.93
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Wagner)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083605
Wagner1.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 61 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Pikous1.93
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 40 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWagner5wins
AwayPikous5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner80%4 of 5
AwayPikous80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner5Pikous5n = 10split evenly
S2Wagner4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S3Wagner4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S4Wagner3Pikous2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWagnerPikousW − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.634.8−0.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 177 vs 364 / 69152%52.7%92 / 177 vs 364 / 691Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.77/Pikous 1.93
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:00R. Wagner—1288101M. Pikous—101111123
WAug 22 · 22:30R. Wagner—1112113M. Pikous—71090
WAug 8 · 21:30R. Wagner—31111113M. Pikous—117731
WAug 8 · 19:00R. Wagner—111011113M. Pikous—712981
WAug 5 · 24:30R. Wagner—119711113M. Pikous—51111962
LAug 1 · 21:29R. Wagner—710100M. Pikous—1112123
LAug 1 · 20:00R. Wagner—1011781M. Pikous—12911113
WJul 22 · 17:29R. Wagner—1711113M. Pikous—15650
LJul 22 · 15:30R. Wagner—59110M. Pikous—1111133
LJul 19 · 19:30R. Wagner—5680M. Pikous—1111113
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452LSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda2.50111013113R. Wagner1.508121151WSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
M. Pikous10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101
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