Richard Wagner vs Petr Saleny 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13077421

Played Sep 4Finished

Richard Wagner

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1113911115114115

Petr Saleny

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Petr Saleny below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 91 set 5, 11-5

91 points played in total.

H2H Richard Wagner 4–1 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 4–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wagner)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Saleny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWagner 1.67 / Saleny 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Wagner)+1.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13077421

Wagner1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite55% won 57 of 103

Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56

Saleny2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog37% won 31 of 83

Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 44

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeWagner4wins

AwaySaleny1wins

2 of 5 to a deciderWagner leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWagnern = 2, below the 3 needed

AwaySaleny33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wagner2Saleny3n = 5Saleny took 3 of 5

S2Wagner3Saleny2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5

S3Wagner3Saleny2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5

S4Wagner3Saleny2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home240%

3–2Decider, home240%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricWagnerSalenyW − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match43.838.0+5.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWagnerSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 173 vs 208 / 41152%50.6%90 / 173 vs 208 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Wagner

Wagner 1.67/Saleny 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.4%

Wagner · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Wagner won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

WSep 4 · 11:00R. Wagner—118117113P. Saleny—61151192

LSep 4 · 06:30R. Wagner—914691P. Saleny—111211113

WAug 25 · 13:30R. Wagner—1011911113P. Saleny—12611952

WAug 25 · 10:00R. Wagner—71111113P. Saleny—119981

WAug 25 · 06:30R. Wagner—11811113P. Saleny—511341

R. Wagner10

WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780 WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101 WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123 WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691 LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113 LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791 LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101 WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781 LSep 4 · 12:00V. Vejvoda2.50111013113R. Wagner1.508121151 WSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113

P. Saleny10

LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040 LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070 LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113 LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102 WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113 LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113 LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113 LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151 WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872 LSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113

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