TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081771
Played Sep 6Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911911611––
Adam Brazda
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Adam Brazda at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 3–3 Adam Brazda Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Saleny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1662 vs Brazda 1745
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 20% vs Brazda 80%
Brazda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 30% vs Brazda 80%
Brazda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny -1 · Brazda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brazda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.80 / Brazda 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brazda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081771
Saleny1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Brazda1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 29 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSaleny3wins
AwayBrazda3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalenyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBrazda50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny0Brazda6n = 6Brazda took 6 of 6
S2Saleny4Brazda2n = 6Saleny took 4 of 6
S3Saleny2Brazda4n = 6Brazda took 4 of 6
S4Saleny4Brazda1n = 5Saleny took 4 of 5
S5Saleny2Brazda1n = 3Saleny took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSalenyBrazdaS − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match39.543.0−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 417 vs 189 / 40050.1%47.3%209 / 417 vs 189 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrazdaSaleny 1.80/Brazda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brazda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMar 9 · 17:00P. Saleny—9101111193A. Brazda—111288172
WFeb 9 · 18:30P. Saleny—411711113A. Brazda—11811862
WFeb 9 · 15:30P. Saleny—31111113A. Brazda—119761
LOct 23 · 18:00P. Saleny—51191182A. Brazda—118116113
LOct 16 · 21:30P. Saleny—514661A. Brazda—111211113
LOct 16 · 20:00P. Saleny—9940A. Brazda—1111113
P. Saleny10
LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872LSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113WSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda1.40561281A. Brazda2.75111110113
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