TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086684
Played Sep 6Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13118111517911––
Petr Saleny
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 95 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 58.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 1–0 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1742 vs Saleny 1675
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 40% vs Saleny 20%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 60% vs Saleny 40%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -1 · Saleny -4
Saleny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.40 / Saleny 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Wagner)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086684
Wagner1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Saleny2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 28 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWagner1wins
AwaySaleny0wins
Wagner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWagnerSalenyW − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.025.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 146 vs 208 / 41556.2%50.1%82 / 146 vs 208 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.40/Saleny 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 6 · 07:00M. Wagner—1112113P. Saleny—81070
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:00M. Sychra2.00711661M. Wagner1.7311811113
P. Saleny10
LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872LSep 4 · 11:00P. Saleny2.2061151192R. Wagner1.61118117113
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