TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065103
Played Sep 4Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118611611––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 5–2 Mark Robin Wagner Mark Robin Wagner has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sychra
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1703 vs Wagner 1749
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Wagner 80%
Wagner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 70% vs Wagner 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Wagner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.00 / Wagner 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wagner)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065103
Sychra2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 179 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back25% 48 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 111
Wagner1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 47 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwayWagner2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSychra leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra100%4 of 4
AwayWagner66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Wagner3n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S2Sychra5Wagner2n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S3Sychra3Wagner4n = 7Wagner took 4 of 7
S4Sychra3Wagner2n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
S5Sychra2Wagner1n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSychraWagnerS − WBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.038.7+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime802 / 1515 vs 79 / 14052.9%56.4%802 / 1515 vs 79 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerSychra 2.00/Wagner 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 31 · 09:28M. Sychra—64110M. Wagner—1111133
WAug 31 · 06:30M. Sychra—119812113M. Wagner—711111082
WAug 19 · 23:00M. Sychra—11126113M. Wagner—8101171
LAug 12 · 24:30M. Sychra—711111082M. Wagner—118712113
WJul 30 · 10:30M. Sychra—31111113M. Wagner—114681
WJul 30 · 08:59M. Sychra—1112113M. Wagner—91090
WJul 30 · 06:30M. Sychra—111469113M. Wagner—812111152
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123
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