TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082925
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121411911131210116
Jiri Louda
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 109 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 17–27 Jiri Louda Martin Sychra has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-27 in 44
Louda
Wrong
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1672 vs Louda 1681
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 80% vs Louda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 50% vs Louda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +3 · Louda +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.50 / Louda 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Louda)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13082925
Sychra2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 180 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 106
Louda1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 196 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it87% 88 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it73% 139 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra2wins
AwayLouda8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra50%2 of 4
AwayLouda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Sychra4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Sychra5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S4Sychra1Louda4n = 5Louda took 4 of 5
S5Sychra0Louda3n = 3Louda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraLoudaS − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.138.0−6.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime805 / 1515 vs 612 / 120453.1%50.8%805 / 1515 vs 612 / 1204Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaSychra 2.50/Louda 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 02:00M. Sychra—2680J. Louda—1111113
LAug 1 · 09:30M. Sychra—51711602J. Louda—1115511113
LAug 1 · 06:30M. Sychra—311861J. Louda—11511113
LJul 15 · 19:00M. Sychra—98111172J. Louda—111187113
LJul 14 · 14:30M. Sychra—9670J. Louda—1111113
LJul 9 · 23:00M. Sychra—116861J. Louda—41111113
LJul 8 · 09:00M. Sychra—5580J. Louda—1111113
WJul 8 · 07:00M. Sychra—1111153J. Louda—99130
WJul 6 · 24:00M. Sychra—1112113J. Louda—91050
LJul 4 · 09:00M. Sychra—11511942J. Louda—811911113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.