TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081780
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111210117––––
Petr Saleny
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Saleny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 64 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Petr Saleny at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 14–10 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Saleny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Louda
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1606 vs Saleny 1653
Saleny
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 20% vs Saleny 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 20% vs Saleny 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -3 · Saleny -2
Louda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Saleny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.83 / Saleny 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Saleny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081780
Louda1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Saleny1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda6wins
AwaySaleny4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda83.3%5 of 6
AwaySaleny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda6Saleny4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Louda6Saleny4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Louda4Saleny6n = 10Saleny took 6 of 10
S4Louda3Saleny4n = 7Saleny took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSalenyL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.5+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime609 / 1202 vs 209 / 41850.7%50%609 / 1202 vs 209 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenyLouda 1.83/Saleny 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:30J. Louda—712481P. Saleny—111011113
LSep 4 · 07:00J. Louda—1011661P. Saleny—12811113
WJul 8 · 08:30J. Louda—12119113P. Saleny—1091141
LJul 4 · 08:30J. Louda—2280P. Saleny—1111113
WJul 2 · 07:00J. Louda—14111211113P. Saleny—16914482
WApr 17 · 07:00J. Louda—116118113P. Saleny—71151182
LApr 13 · 20:00J. Louda—1145121P. Saleny—61111143
WApr 6 · 21:00J. Louda—1111113P. Saleny—9620
WApr 6 · 19:00J. Louda—1111113P. Saleny—5860
WMar 19 · 22:30J. Louda—11611123P. Saleny—6115101
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
P. Saleny10
LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481
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