TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13090226
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311711117911––
Jiri Louda
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:04 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 21–31 Jiri Louda Martin Sychra has won 21 of their 52 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sychra beat Louda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-31 in 52
Louda
Correct
gap of 10 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1682 vs Louda 1691
Louda
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 80% vs Louda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Louda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +4 · Louda +1
Sychra
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.40 / Louda 1.50
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Sychra)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13090226
Sychra2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 180 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 106
Louda1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 196 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it87% 88 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it73% 139 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwayLouda6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychran = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLouda66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra1Louda9n = 10Louda took 9 of 10
S2Sychra5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra3Louda7n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S4Sychra3Louda2n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
S5Sychra3Louda1n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraLoudaS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.638.9−5.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime806 / 1517 vs 612 / 120453.1%50.8%806 / 1517 vs 612 / 1204Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaSychra 2.40/Louda 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.5%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra—12111112113J. Louda—149131062
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Sychra—711611113J. Louda—11911472
LAug 21 · 01:30M. Sychra—61070J. Louda—1112113
LAug 17 · 02:30M. Sychra—1113101J. Louda—11711123
LAug 16 · 01:00M. Sychra—66110J. Louda—1111133
LAug 6 · 02:00M. Sychra—5980J. Louda—1111113
WAug 4 · 09:28M. Sychra—991111113J. Louda—11118582
WAug 4 · 08:00M. Sychra—1111123J. Louda—58100
LAug 3 · 02:00M. Sychra—2680J. Louda—1111113
LAug 1 · 09:30M. Sychra—51711602J. Louda—1115511113
M. Sychra10
WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
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