TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078111
Played Sep 6Finished
Karel Schopf
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611911––––
Martin Sychra
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKarel Schopf above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Karel Schopf at 63.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Karel Schopf 25–11 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 11 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Schopf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-11 in 36
Schopf
Wrong
gap of 14 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schopf 1608 vs Sychra 1646
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schopf 60% vs Sychra 20%
Schopf
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schopf 40% vs Sychra 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schopf +3 · Sychra -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Schopf) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchopf 1.57 / Sychra 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Schopf)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078111
Schopf1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 49 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Sychra2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 179 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchopf6wins
AwaySychra4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchopf leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchopf71.4%5 of 7
AwaySychra66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schopf7Sychra3n = 10Schopf took 7 of 10
S2Schopf5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S3Schopf6Sychra4n = 10Schopf took 6 of 10
S4Schopf4Sychra4n = 8split evenly
S5Schopf2Sychra2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchopfSychraSchopf − SychraBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.438.2+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchopfSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 451 vs 804 / 151350.6%53.1%228 / 451 vs 804 / 1513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchopfSchopf 1.57/Sychra 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Schopf · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 02:58K. Schopf—11913113M. Sychra—9111181
WAug 4 · 23:00K. Schopf—1112113M. Sychra—51090
LAug 4 · 13:30K. Schopf—671471M. Sychra—111112113
WAug 4 · 10:30K. Schopf—1110711113M. Sychra—51211562
LAug 4 · 06:30K. Schopf—111181182M. Sychra—671113113
WJun 23 · 22:00K. Schopf—1113113M. Sychra—61180
LJun 5 · 19:00K. Schopf—29121192M. Sychra—1111105113
WApr 27 · 01:30K. Schopf—712119113M. Sychra—111081142
LApr 26 · 14:00K. Schopf—119671M. Sychra—91111113
WApr 25 · 19:00K. Schopf—11119113M. Sychra—551171
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100WSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192WSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.