TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083223
Played Sep 7Finished
Karel Schopf
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3114111012––––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Schopf above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 51 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 72.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Karel Schopf 2–16 Viktor Vejvoda Karel Schopf has won 2 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vejvoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-16 in 18
Vejvoda
Correct
gap of 14 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schopf 1563 vs Vejvoda 1808
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schopf 0% vs Vejvoda 40%
Vejvoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schopf 30% vs Vejvoda 50%
Vejvoda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schopf -5 · Vejvoda -1
Schopf
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchopf 2.75 / Vejvoda 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Vejvoda)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083223
Schopf2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 25 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Vejvoda1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 177 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 86 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it83% 117 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchopf1wins
AwayVejvoda9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchopfn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVejvoda100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schopf2Vejvoda8n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S2Schopf2Vejvoda8n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S3Schopf3Vejvoda7n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S4Schopf1Vejvoda5n = 6Vejvoda took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchopfVejvodaS − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.9−5.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchopfVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 458 vs 464 / 88450%52.5%229 / 458 vs 464 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaSchopf 2.75/Vejvoda 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 08:30K. Schopf—5711121V. Vejvoda—11115143
LJul 22 · 16:59K. Schopf—27111382V. Vejvoda—1111211113
LJul 22 · 15:00K. Schopf—8770V. Vejvoda—1111113
LJul 20 · 19:30K. Schopf—91190V. Vejvoda—1113113
LJun 24 · 18:30K. Schopf—611791V. Vejvoda—11711113
WJun 5 · 11:30K. Schopf—1191113113V. Vejvoda—61171582
LApr 27 · 02:30K. Schopf—88100V. Vejvoda—1111123
LFeb 15 · 15:30K. Schopf—112981V. Vejvoda—51111113
LFeb 14 · 22:00K. Schopf—1012751V. Vejvoda—121011113
LFeb 14 · 19:00K. Schopf—1310120V. Vejvoda—1512143
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100LSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113WSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110
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