TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092875
Played Sep 8Finished
Karel Schopf
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1166111113115116
Jakub Tazler
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:37 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Tazler to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Schopf above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Tazler at 68.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Karel Schopf 6–10 Jakub Tazler Karel Schopf has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tazler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Tazler
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schopf 1503 vs Tazler 1612
Tazler
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schopf 20% vs Tazler 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schopf 10% vs Tazler 30%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schopf -1 · Tazler -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tazler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchopf 2.63 / Tazler 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Tazler)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092875
Schopf2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 26 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Tazler1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 92 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchopf2wins
AwayTazler8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTazler leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchopf66.7%2 of 3
AwayTazler100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schopf3Tazler7n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10
S2Schopf3Tazler7n = 10Tazler took 7 of 10
S3Schopf1Tazler9n = 10Tazler took 9 of 10
S4Schopf3Tazler2n = 5Schopf took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchopfTazlerS − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.937.3−8.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchopfTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 465 vs 390 / 71349.5%54.7%230 / 465 vs 390 / 713Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerSchopf 2.63/Tazler 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Tazler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schopf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf—5430J. Tazler—1111113
LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf—6440J. Tazler—1111113
LSep 6 · 15:00K. Schopf—411141142J. Tazler—118165113
LSep 6 · 03:30K. Schopf—310100J. Tazler—1112123
WSep 5 · 22:30K. Schopf—12119113J. Tazler—1071141
LAug 5 · 02:00K. Schopf—116751J. Tazler—91111113
LAug 3 · 13:30K. Schopf—1016481J. Tazler—121411113
WAug 3 · 10:30K. Schopf—11711113J. Tazler—811771
LAug 3 · 09:00K. Schopf—8980J. Tazler—1111113
LAug 3 · 07:00K. Schopf—7680J. Tazler—1111113
K. Schopf10
LSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551LSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113LSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113LSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100
J. Tazler10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142
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