TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092842
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeSebastian Kasnik to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Sebastian Kasnik at 55.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 4–10 Sebastian Kasnik Jakub Tazler has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kasnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Kasnik
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1598 vs Kasnik 1676
Kasnik
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 20% vs Kasnik 80%
Kasnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 30% vs Kasnik 60%
Kasnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler -3 · Kasnik -1
Tazler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kasnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.00 / Kasnik 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kasnik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092842
Tazler2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 95 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 63
Kasnik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 113 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it92% 66 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it72% 91 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler3wins
AwayKasnik7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKasnik leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler25%1 of 4
AwayKasnik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Tazler4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S3Tazler4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Tazler5Kasnik4n = 9Tazler took 5 of 9
S5Tazler2Kasnik4n = 6Kasnik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerKasnikT − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.643.4−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 712 vs 482 / 101154.8%47.7%390 / 712 vs 482 / 1011Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasnikTazler 2.00/Kasnik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Kasnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 08:58J. Tazler—6118121S. Kasnik—11411143
WSep 3 · 06:00J. Tazler—11911123S. Kasnik—4111101
WAug 25 · 13:00J. Tazler—711711113S. Kasnik—11711592
LAug 25 · 10:30J. Tazler—8111041S. Kasnik—11612113
LAug 25 · 06:00J. Tazler—11581372S. Kasnik—9111111113
WAug 21 · 02:00J. Tazler—1091112113S. Kasnik—121191092
LAug 20 · 03:30J. Tazler—111114472S. Kasnik—891611113
LAug 20 · 01:00J. Tazler—815111182S. Kasnik—111753113
LAug 19 · 10:00J. Tazler—4750S. Kasnik—1111113
LAug 17 · 24:30J. Tazler—11911752S. Kasnik—811511113
J. Tazler10
LSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142
S. Kasnik10
LSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132WSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113WSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Tazler1 of 7 neutral
S. Kasnik
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