TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092480
Played Sep 8Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
31111910121113––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Milan Klement at 57.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 31–21 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 21 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-21 in 52
Klement
Wrong
gap of 10 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1686 vs Kasnik 1637
Klement
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 100% vs Kasnik 60%
Klement
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 80% vs Kasnik 50%
Klement
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement +5 · Kasnik +2
Klement
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Klement)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.61 / Kasnik 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Klement)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092480
Klement1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 115 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it73% 87 of 119
Kasnik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement8wins
AwayKasnik2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement100%5 of 5
AwayKasnik40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Klement4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S3Klement6Kasnik4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S4Klement7Kasnik2n = 9Klement took 7 of 9
S5Klement5Kasnik1n = 6Klement took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementKasnikKlement − KasnikBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.739.7+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 883 vs 479 / 100751.8%47.6%457 / 883 vs 479 / 1007Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.61/Kasnik 2.20
Miss
What we said
58.1%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 08:00M. Klement—127119113S. Kasnik—101161192
WSep 2 · 24:30M. Klement—591211113S. Kasnik—111110762
WAug 26 · 07:00M. Klement—991111113S. Kasnik—11117552
WAug 24 · 08:00M. Klement—1111113S. Kasnik—7520
WAug 20 · 10:00M. Klement—11118113S. Kasnik—841121
WJun 29 · 10:30M. Klement—111210143S. Kasnik—81012121
LJun 3 · 11:30M. Klement—138111182S. Kasnik—151178113
LMay 29 · 02:58M. Klement—791161S. Kasnik—11116113
WMay 29 · 24:30M. Klement—911713113S. Kasnik—115111192
WMay 26 · 22:00M. Klement—1281011113S. Kasnik—101112952
M. Klement10
WSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113
S. Kasnik10
WSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113WSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123
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