TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070733
Played Sep 4Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210116711118––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 62.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 16–18 Viktor Vejvoda Sebastian Kasnik has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Vejvoda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1622 vs Vejvoda 1867
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 40% vs Vejvoda 100%
Vejvoda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 30% vs Vejvoda 100%
Vejvoda
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik +1 · Vejvoda +5
Vejvoda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.20 / Vejvoda 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Vejvoda)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070733
Kasnik2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 91
Vejvoda1.61
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 175 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it93% 84 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it83% 115 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik4wins
AwayVejvoda6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik60%3 of 5
AwayVejvoda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S2Kasnik6Vejvoda4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S3Kasnik4Vejvoda6n = 10Vejvoda took 6 of 10
S4Kasnik2Vejvoda5n = 7Vejvoda took 5 of 7
S5Kasnik2Vejvoda3n = 5Vejvoda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikVejvodaK − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.041.1−4.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 1000 vs 460 / 87747.6%52.5%476 / 1000 vs 460 / 877Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaKasnik 2.20/Vejvoda 1.61
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 03:30S. Kasnik—8590V. Vejvoda—1111113
LSep 1 · 23:30S. Kasnik—111110892V. Vejvoda—681211113
WAug 27 · 12:59S. Kasnik—612119113V. Vejvoda—111091192
LAug 27 · 12:00S. Kasnik—6690V. Vejvoda—1111113
WAug 27 · 08:30S. Kasnik—1111710113V. Vejvoda—87111252
LAug 24 · 08:59S. Kasnik—11471392V. Vejvoda—9111111113
WAug 24 · 07:00S. Kasnik—12115113V. Vejvoda—1091161
LAug 13 · 16:00S. Kasnik—891221V. Vejvoda—111110113
WJul 1 · 08:30S. Kasnik—1112113V. Vejvoda—71090
LJun 4 · 09:30S. Kasnik—41111412V. Vejvoda—116711113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113LSep 4 · 07:30R. Wagner1.6111711113S. Kasnik2.20811751
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591LSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113WSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113
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