TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076593
Played Sep 4Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711911811––
Richard Wagner
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 4–7 Richard Wagner Sebastian Kasnik has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.25 / Wagner 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Wagner)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076593
Kasnik2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 91
Wagner1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite55% won 57 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik3wins
AwayWagner7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderWagner leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik40%2 of 5
AwayWagner80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik5Wagner5n = 10split evenly
S2Kasnik5Wagner5n = 10split evenly
S3Kasnik4Wagner6n = 10Wagner took 6 of 10
S4Kasnik2Wagner7n = 9Wagner took 7 of 9
S5Kasnik2Wagner3n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikWagnerK − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.943.8−3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 996 vs 88 / 16947.6%52.1%474 / 996 vs 88 / 169Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerKasnik 2.25/Wagner 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:30S. Kasnik—811751R. Wagner—11711113
WAug 28 · 02:30S. Kasnik—1114119113R. Wagner—41691152
LAug 25 · 11:30S. Kasnik—791191R. Wagner—11119113
LAug 25 · 09:30S. Kasnik—11915962R. Wagner—9111311113
WAug 25 · 07:30S. Kasnik—12146113R. Wagner—10121191
LAug 18 · 16:58S. Kasnik—981161R. Wagner—11116113
LAug 18 · 14:00S. Kasnik—7930R. Wagner—1111113
LAug 10 · 13:00S. Kasnik—15116942R. Wagner—1391111113
WAug 10 · 10:00S. Kasnik—611611113R. Wagner—11411882
LAug 10 · 09:00S. Kasnik—11114952R. Wagner—481111113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113LSep 4 · 07:30R. Wagner1.6111711113S. Kasnik2.20811751
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781LSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123WSep 4 · 07:30R. Wagner1.6111711113S. Kasnik2.20811751
Upcoming Matches
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