TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076701
Played Sep 5Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611111911––––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 49 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 62.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 14–22 Ondrej Svacha Sebastian Kasnik has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Svacha
Correct
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1616 vs Svacha 1704
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 40% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 30% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik -2 · Svacha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.10 / Svacha 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Svacha)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076701
Kasnik2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 94
Svacha1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 95 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it73% 72 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik5wins
AwaySvacha5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik83.3%5 of 6
AwaySvacha100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik6Svacha4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik2Svacha8n = 10Svacha took 8 of 10
S3Kasnik6Svacha4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Kasnik1Svacha6n = 7Svacha took 6 of 7
S5Kasnik4Svacha1n = 5Kasnik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikSvachaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.9−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 1005 vs 397 / 78447.5%50.6%477 / 1005 vs 397 / 784Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaKasnik 2.10/Svacha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:00S. Kasnik—7312101O. Svacha—111110123
LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik—6190O. Svacha—1111113
LMay 12 · 19:30S. Kasnik—1312681O. Svacha—111411113
LApr 23 · 17:00S. Kasnik—97130O. Svacha—1111153
WApr 23 · 15:30S. Kasnik—1112113O. Svacha—81080
WApr 22 · 02:00S. Kasnik—111148113O. Svacha—89111172
LApr 14 · 18:30S. Kasnik—95111172O. Svacha—111197113
WMar 24 · 19:30S. Kasnik—117117113O. Svacha—71191172
WMar 24 · 01:30S. Kasnik—118155113O. Svacha—711131182
WFeb 11 · 24:30S. Kasnik—115116113O. Svacha—41181182
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113LSep 4 · 07:30R. Wagner1.6111711113S. Kasnik2.20811751
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113LSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.