TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065415
Played Sep 3Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131012113114––
Vlastimil Kolar
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVlastimil Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Vlastimil Kolar below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 65 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vlastimil Kolar at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 2–2 Vlastimil Kolar Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1682 vs Kolar 1686
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Kolar 0%
Svacha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 40% vs Kolar 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -1 · Kolar -5
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.57 / Kolar 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Svacha)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065415
Svacha1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 94 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it71% 70 of 98
Kolar2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvacha2wins
AwayKolar2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha2Kolar2n = 4split evenly
S2Svacha1Kolar3n = 4Kolar took 3 of 4
S3Svacha3Kolar1n = 4Svacha took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvachaKolarS − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match31.233.2−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 785 vs 93 / 17950.6%52%397 / 785 vs 93 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.57/Kolar 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha—1111113V. Kolar—5990
LAug 30 · 11:30O. Svacha—8840V. Kolar—1111113
LJul 12 · 20:30O. Svacha—1061151V. Kolar—12119113
WApr 22 · 24:30O. Svacha—11711113V. Kolar—811961
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113LSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha1.911111113V. Kolar1.805990LSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
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