TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065173
Played Sep 3Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711117116––
Vlastimil Kolar
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Vlastimil Kolar below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 3–3 Vlastimil Kolar Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1608 vs Kolar 1631
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 0% vs Kolar 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 10% vs Kolar 10%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -5 · Kolar -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.80 / Kolar 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Louda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065173
Louda1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 198 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it87% 89 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it73% 140 of 192
Kolar1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLouda3wins
AwayKolar3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda100%3 of 3
AwayKolar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda3Kolar3n = 6split evenly
S2Louda3Kolar3n = 6split evenly
S3Louda6Kolar0n = 6Louda took 6 of 6
S4Louda3Kolar1n = 4Louda took 3 of 4
S5Louda0Kolar3n = 3Kolar took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLoudaKolarL − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.235.7+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 1201 vs 93 / 18350.8%50.8%610 / 1201 vs 93 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.80/Kolar 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 30 · 15:00J. Louda—73111132V. Kolar—11115953
WAug 19 · 20:00J. Louda—111211113V. Kolar—714551
WJul 12 · 16:30J. Louda—1111113V. Kolar—8870
LJun 6 · 15:00J. Louda—81111692V. Kolar—118711113
LMar 31 · 17:28J. Louda—87111152V. Kolar—111173113
WMar 31 · 16:00J. Louda—1211123V. Kolar—108100
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha1.911111113V. Kolar1.805990LSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
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