TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052737
Played Sep 1Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119119––––
Vlastimil Kolar
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Vlastimil Kolar below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 1–2 Vlastimil Kolar Ondrej Svacha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:55What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1683 vs Kolar 1714
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 20% vs Kolar 60%
Kolar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 40% vs Kolar 60%
Kolar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -2 · Kolar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolar) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.91 / Kolar 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolar)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052737
Svacha1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 84 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back33% 22 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Kolar1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 39 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvacha1wins
AwayKolar2wins
Kolar leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha1Kolar2n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
S2Svacha0Kolar3n = 3Kolar took 3 of 3
S3Svacha2Kolar1n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvachaKolarS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.736.7−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 783 vs 93 / 17550.7%53.1%397 / 783 vs 93 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolarSvacha 1.91/Kolar 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 30 · 11:30O. Svacha—8840V. Kolar—1111113
LJul 12 · 20:30O. Svacha—1061151V. Kolar—12119113
WApr 22 · 24:30O. Svacha—11711113V. Kolar—811961
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
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