TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077466
Played Sep 5Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116811711115911
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 66.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 1–10 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Ondrej Svacha has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1704 vs Nohejl 1776
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 80% vs Nohejl 40%
Svacha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 60% vs Nohejl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha +3 · Nohejl -1
Svacha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 3.00 / Nohejl 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Nohejl)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077466
Svacha3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 88 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back34% 25 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Nohejl1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha1wins
AwayNohejl9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha0%0 of 3
AwayNohejl85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha3Nohejl7n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S2Svacha3Nohejl7n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S3Svacha1Nohejl9n = 10Nohejl took 9 of 10
S4Svacha3Nohejl3n = 6split evenly
S5Svacha1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaNohejlS − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.840.2−6.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 784 vs 171 / 31150.6%55%397 / 784 vs 171 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlSvacha 3.00/Nohejl 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha—11871192V. Nohejl—611115113
LSep 1 · 21:30O. Svacha—3790V. Nohejl—1111113
LSep 1 · 18:00O. Svacha—911581V. Nohejl—11811113
LAug 25 · 16:00O. Svacha—511761V. Nohejl—11511113
LJul 7 · 21:30O. Svacha—7980V. Nohejl—1111113
LJul 7 · 20:30O. Svacha—119101192V. Nohejl—911129113
LJul 5 · 13:30O. Svacha—9730V. Nohejl—1111113
WJul 5 · 12:00O. Svacha—8111011113V. Nohejl—11912642
LApr 23 · 14:00O. Svacha—93110V. Nohejl—1111133
LApr 15 · 17:00O. Svacha—121011562V. Nohejl—1012711113
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113LSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
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