TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060831
Played Sep 1Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117119––––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 69.0% is still 69.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
69.0%
69.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 69.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 9–1 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1748 vs Svacha 1675
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Svacha 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 40% vs Svacha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +3 · Svacha +1
Nohejl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.40 / Svacha 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Nohejl)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060831
Nohejl1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 45 of 55
Svacha2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 84 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back33% 22 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl9wins
AwaySvacha1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl87.5%7 of 8
AwaySvachan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl8Svacha2n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S2Nohejl7Svacha3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S3Nohejl9Svacha1n = 10Nohejl took 9 of 10
S4Nohejl3Svacha2n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
S5Nohejl2Svacha1n = 3Nohejl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlSvachaN − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.131.8+7.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 307 vs 398 / 78554.4%50.7%167 / 307 vs 398 / 785Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.40/Svacha 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl—1111113O. Svacha—3790
WSep 1 · 18:00V. Nohejl—11811113O. Svacha—911581
WAug 25 · 16:00V. Nohejl—11511113O. Svacha—511761
WJul 7 · 21:30V. Nohejl—1111113O. Svacha—7980
WJul 7 · 20:30V. Nohejl—911129113O. Svacha—119101192
WJul 5 · 13:30V. Nohejl—1111113O. Svacha—9730
LJul 5 · 12:00V. Nohejl—11912642O. Svacha—8111011113
WApr 23 · 14:00V. Nohejl—1111133O. Svacha—93110
WApr 15 · 17:00V. Nohejl—1012711113O. Svacha—121011562
WApr 15 · 14:00V. Nohejl—1111113O. Svacha—8990
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113
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