TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065548
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1136111210119––
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek 2–0 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1610 vs Nohejl 1736
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 20% vs Nohejl 80%
Nohejl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 30% vs Nohejl 50%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +1 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.80 / Nohejl 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nohejl)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065548
Simecek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 32 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Nohejl1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 23 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSimecek2wins
AwayNohejl0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderSimecek leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSimecekNohejlS − NBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match54.547.5+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 205 vs 166 / 30449.3%54.6%101 / 205 vs 166 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlSimecek 1.80/Nohejl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 6 · 17:30J. Simecek—1113119143V. Nohejl—415611122
WApr 6 · 15:30J. Simecek—891211113V. Nohejl—111110782
J. Simecek10
WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 14:30S. Kasnik2.258970J. Simecek1.571111113LAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131LAug 28 · 01:30J. Simecek2.20412912132J. Ruzicka1.6111101110153
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
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