TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13072496
Played Sep 3Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611119118––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8
76 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 3–8 Sebastian Kasnik Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.83 / Kasnik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nohejl)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13072496
Nohejl1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kasnik1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl3wins
AwayKasnik7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasnik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKasnik77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl1Kasnik9n = 10Kasnik took 9 of 10
S2Nohejl5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Nohejl5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Nohejl3Kasnik5n = 8Kasnik took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlKasnikN − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.539.2−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 306 vs 473 / 99254.6%47.7%167 / 306 vs 473 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.83/Kasnik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl—61111113S. Kasnik—111981
WApr 23 · 16:30V. Nohejl—12911113S. Kasnik—1011841
WMar 15 · 17:59V. Nohejl—811117113S. Kasnik—11771192
LMar 15 · 17:00V. Nohejl—9880S. Kasnik—1111113
LDec 17 · 21:00V. Nohejl—711791S. Kasnik—11911113
LDec 17 · 15:00V. Nohejl—671191S. Kasnik—11117113
LDec 16 · 10:30V. Nohejl—891161S. Kasnik—11114113
LDec 16 · 08:30V. Nohejl—6111211152S. Kasnik—117148173
LDec 15 · 19:00V. Nohejl—11530S. Kasnik—1311113
LDec 13 · 16:00V. Nohejl—811881S. Kasnik—11811113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981
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