TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081731
Played Sep 5Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117711117––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 8–9 Viktor Vejvoda Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1760 vs Vejvoda 1872
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Vejvoda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 70% vs Vejvoda 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +2 · Vejvoda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.73 / Vejvoda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081731
Nohejl1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 44 of 55
Vejvoda2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 104 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back12% 10 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl4wins
AwayVejvoda6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl50%2 of 4
AwayVejvoda66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Vejvoda6n = 10Vejvoda took 6 of 10
S2Nohejl6Vejvoda4n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S3Nohejl6Vejvoda4n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S4Nohejl7Vejvoda2n = 9Nohejl took 7 of 9
S5Nohejl1Vejvoda6n = 7Vejvoda took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlVejvodaN − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match46.142.8+3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 310 vs 461 / 87754.8%52.6%170 / 310 vs 461 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.73/Vejvoda 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl—1111611132V. Vejvoda—136118153
LJul 7 · 19:30V. Nohejl—89111192V. Vejvoda—111196113
WJun 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl—71111113V. Vejvoda—114971
LMay 28 · 14:00V. Nohejl—1113911102V. Vejvoda—1311116123
LMay 6 · 15:30V. Nohejl—81181192V. Vejvoda—119117113
LMay 1 · 17:30V. Nohejl—129111082V. Vejvoda—1011512113
WMay 1 · 16:00V. Nohejl—811911113V. Vejvoda—11411372
WJan 18 · 08:00V. Nohejl—1111123V. Vejvoda—79100
WDec 28 · 17:00V. Nohejl—11911113V. Vejvoda—611871
LDec 25 · 14:30V. Nohejl—11511892V. Vejvoda—911911113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151WSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153
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