TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082602
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171131311––––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 56 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 2–2 Mark Robin Wagner Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:54What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1843 vs Wagner 1753
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 40% vs Wagner 60%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 60% vs Wagner 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda -1 · Wagner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 2.25 / Wagner 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wagner)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13082602
Vejvoda2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 104 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back12% 10 of 83
Wagner1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVejvoda2wins
AwayWagner2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda2Wagner2n = 4split evenly
S2Vejvoda2Wagner2n = 4split evenly
S3Vejvoda2Wagner2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricVejvodaWagnerV − WBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match28.230.8−2.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 880 vs 82 / 14552.5%56.6%462 / 880 vs 82 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerVejvoda 2.25/Wagner 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 27 · 10:00V. Vejvoda—6970M. Wagner—1111113
WAug 27 · 06:30V. Vejvoda—1215123M. Wagner—1013100
WAug 6 · 11:30V. Vejvoda—1111113M. Wagner—9860
LAug 6 · 07:30V. Vejvoda—10540M. Wagner—1211113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:00M. Sychra2.00711661M. Wagner1.7311811113
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