TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081781
Played Sep 6Finished
Adam Brazda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911117117––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Adam Brazda at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Adam Brazda 1–0 Mark Robin Wagner Mark Robin Wagner has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brazda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1754 vs Wagner 1756
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 80% vs Wagner 60%
Brazda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 80% vs Wagner 50%
Brazda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda +3 · Wagner +2
Brazda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brazda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 1.73 / Wagner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brazda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081781
Brazda1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 42 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it68% 28 of 41
Wagner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 32 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrazda1wins
AwayWagner0wins
Brazda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrazdaWagnerB − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 401 vs 84 / 14947.4%56.4%190 / 401 vs 84 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrazdaBrazda 1.73/Wagner 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brazda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 20 · 15:00A. Brazda—1111113M. Wagner—8850
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113WSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda1.40561281A. Brazda2.75111110113
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:00M. Sychra2.00711661M. Wagner1.7311811113
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