TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052705
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5116111210811––
Adam Brazda
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 67.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 34–10 Adam Brazda Adam Brazda has won 10 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:55What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-10 in 44
Louda
Wrong
gap of 24 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1656 vs Brazda 1688
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 20% vs Brazda 60%
Brazda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 40% vs Brazda 60%
Brazda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -2 · Brazda +3
Brazda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.40 / Brazda 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Louda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052705
Louda1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 200 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it88% 91 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it73% 142 of 194
Brazda2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda10wins
AwayBrazda0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda100%8 of 8
AwayBrazdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda8Brazda2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S2Louda8Brazda2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S3Louda8Brazda2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S4Louda3Brazda2n = 5Louda took 3 of 5
S5Louda3Brazda0n = 3Louda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaBrazdaL − BBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.429.3+11.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime615 / 1204 vs 184 / 39551.1%46.6%615 / 1204 vs 184 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.40/Brazda 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 28 · 14:00J. Louda—1212113A. Brazda—101050
WMar 4 · 17:59J. Louda—1111113A. Brazda—1580
WMar 4 · 16:30J. Louda—91111113A. Brazda—115521
WFeb 19 · 21:30J. Louda—1111118113A. Brazda—61361192
WJan 29 · 22:26J. Louda—111112113A. Brazda—661491
WJan 29 · 19:00J. Louda—1111133A. Brazda—79110
WJan 5 · 20:00J. Louda—1111113A. Brazda—3480
WJan 3 · 18:02J. Louda—4131111113A. Brazda—11155552
WJan 3 · 17:30J. Louda—121164123A. Brazda—1061111102
WJan 2 · 14:30J. Louda—1112113A. Brazda—71030
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481
A. Brazda10
WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113WSep 1 · 16:00S. Kasnik2.001111761A. Brazda1.7313711113
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