TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083941
Played Sep 7Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121210118––––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 67 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 36–23 Viktor Vejvoda Viktor Vejvoda has won 23 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-23 in 59
Louda
Correct
gap of 13 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1670 vs Vejvoda 1814
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 80% vs Vejvoda 60%
Louda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 50% vs Vejvoda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Vejvoda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vejvoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.73 / Vejvoda 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vejvoda)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083941
Louda1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 196 of 348
Up 2–0, closes it87% 88 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it73% 139 of 190
Vejvoda2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 104 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back12% 10 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda4wins
AwayVejvoda6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVejvoda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda66.7%2 of 3
AwayVejvoda71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda3Vejvoda7n = 10Vejvoda took 7 of 10
S2Louda6Vejvoda4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Louda7Vejvoda3n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S4Louda3Vejvoda5n = 8Vejvoda took 5 of 8
S5Louda1Vejvoda2n = 3Vejvoda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaVejvodaL − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.241.2−1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime611 / 1204 vs 465 / 88550.8%52.5%611 / 1204 vs 465 / 885Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaLouda 1.73/Vejvoda 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 12:00J. Louda—1111113V. Vejvoda—9860
WJul 26 · 19:30J. Louda—1111123V. Vejvoda—78100
WJul 23 · 07:00J. Louda—1411118133V. Vejvoda—169811112
LJul 19 · 01:00J. Louda—71111111V. Vejvoda—11813133
WJul 6 · 18:00J. Louda—81113113V. Vejvoda—1181171
LJun 24 · 19:00J. Louda—381171V. Vejvoda—11117113
LJun 22 · 21:28J. Louda—6101411112V. Vejvoda—1112129133
LJun 22 · 18:30J. Louda—11111081V. Vejvoda—41312113
LJun 6 · 16:30J. Louda—51191162V. Vejvoda—118116113
LJun 4 · 06:00J. Louda—871251V. Vejvoda—111110113
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110
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