TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083248
Played Sep 7Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Karel Schopf
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Karel Schopf at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 12–11 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Schopf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1671 vs Schopf 1573
Louda
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 60% vs Schopf 20%
Louda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 40% vs Schopf 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda +3 · Schopf -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.83 / Schopf 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Louda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083248
Louda1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Schopf1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda7wins
AwaySchopf3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda66.7%4 of 6
AwaySchopf25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda6Schopf4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Louda8Schopf2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S3Louda5Schopf5n = 10split evenly
S4Louda4Schopf4n = 8split evenly
S5Louda4Schopf3n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSchopfL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.741.0+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime611 / 1203 vs 229 / 45750.8%50.1%611 / 1203 vs 229 / 457Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.83/Schopf 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 07:30J. Louda—118119113K. Schopf—91191142
LJul 22 · 02:00J. Louda—712612102K. Schopf—11101110123
LJun 24 · 21:00J. Louda—111091132K. Schopf—712113113
WJun 24 · 20:30J. Louda—11117113K. Schopf—681191
LJun 7 · 12:30J. Louda—11118672K. Schopf—871111113
WApr 24 · 20:30J. Louda—1211113K. Schopf—10660
WOct 26 · 01:30J. Louda—1211146113K. Schopf—147121172
WOct 26 · 24:30J. Louda—1211146113K. Schopf—147121172
WOct 25 · 17:00J. Louda—411811113K. Schopf—11511462
WOct 25 · 16:30J. Louda—1111143K. Schopf—58120
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
K. Schopf10
LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142WSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100LSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113WSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113
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