TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076594
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012114118––
Jiri Louda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Saleny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Petr Saleny at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 9–14 Jiri Louda Petr Saleny has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Louda
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1722 vs Louda 1623
Saleny
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 80% vs Louda 40%
Saleny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 70% vs Louda 20%
Saleny
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny +3 · Louda +1
Saleny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Saleny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.83 / Louda 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Saleny)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076594
Saleny1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Louda1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny4wins
AwayLouda6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny75%3 of 4
AwayLouda83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Saleny5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S3Saleny5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S4Saleny3Louda4n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
S5Saleny1Louda2n = 3Louda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyLoudaS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.838.3−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 407 vs 610 / 120350.6%50.7%206 / 407 vs 610 / 1203Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySaleny 1.83/Louda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 07:00P. Saleny—12811113J. Louda—1011661
LJul 8 · 08:30P. Saleny—1091141J. Louda—12119113
WJul 4 · 08:30P. Saleny—1111113J. Louda—2280
LJul 2 · 07:00P. Saleny—16914482J. Louda—14111211113
LApr 17 · 07:00P. Saleny—71151182J. Louda—116118113
WApr 13 · 20:00P. Saleny—61111143J. Louda—1145121
LApr 6 · 21:00P. Saleny—9620J. Louda—1111113
LApr 6 · 19:00P. Saleny—5860J. Louda—1111113
LMar 19 · 22:30P. Saleny—6115101J. Louda—11611123
WMar 19 · 20:00P. Saleny—12121011113J. Louda—1010121362
P. Saleny10
LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040LSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102WSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113LSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 4 · 08:30J. Louda1.91131011123R. Wagner1.8011129101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.